Award Shows 2013: The Golden Globes

Who will win, who should win. I feel a little at a disadvantage, though, because I still haven’t seen Zero Dark Thirty, which is obviously a major player.

Film

Best Picture – Dramadjango

Who will win: Lincoln

Who should win: Django Unchained

Lincoln was a good movie, but it didn’t even crack my top 10. I’d rather see something bold like Django  get the top prize, but I guess I’ll settle for “not Life of Pi” instead.

Best Picture – Comedy or Musical

Who will win: Les Miserables

Who should win: Les Miserables

I’d be happy with a Moonrise Kingdom win, too, but this category exists for movies like Les Miserables to win, and I don’t think there’s any question that it will do so.

Best Director

Who will win: Ben Affleck, Argo

Who should win: Not Ben Affleck

This is a category where I think Kathryn Bigelow is probably the most deserving, but as I haven’t seen ZDT, I can’t say for sure. I can say this—Affleck achieved a career high with Argo, but he will do better down the road. He’s still developing as a director and while I think Argo is deserving of nominations, giving him the trophy now feels like anticipating the moment.

Best Actor – Drama

Who will win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Who should win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

You could make a case for Joaquin Phoenix (The Master) or the un-nominated Jamie Foxx (Django Unchained), but DDL gave a tremendous performance as Lincoln and I have no problem with him winning for it.

Best Actress – Drama

Who will win: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Who should win: Any of the nominees

This category has turned out more competitive than it initially seemed, and any of the nominees (Helen Mirren, Rachel Weisz, Naomi Watts and Marion Cotillard are the others) would make a deserving winner. I wouldn’t be totally shocked by Watts upset.

Best Actor – Comedy or Musical

Who will win: Hugh Jackman, Les Miserableshugh-jackman-les-miserables1

Who should win: Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables

Jack Black was very impressive in Bernie, but Jackman has destiny on his side—it feels like his whole career built to him playing Jean Valjean, and in the softer competition of this split category, this should be an easy takeaway for him.

Best Actress – Comedy or Musical

Who will win: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Who should win: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Like Jackman, Lawrence benefits from weak competition in the split category and should be a lock. She’ll have a lot tougher competition at the Oscars when she’s thrown in with the likes of Chastain and Watts.

Best Supporting Actor

Who will win: Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained

Who should win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

DiCaprio was good in Django, and clearly loved playing the villain, but this win, which is pretty well inevitable, has more to do with the HFPA being in love with him than his performance actually outmatching Hoffman’s (which it doesn’t). Don’t rule out a Tommy Lee Jones win.

Best Supporting Actressanne_hathaway_les_mis

Who will win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Who should win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

She was tremendous as Fantine. The end.

Hathaway ought to walk away with this one, but I don’t think the Oscars will be as easy to take. The Academy likes Sally Field a lot. They really, really like her a lot.

Best Screenplay

Who will win: Tony Kushner, Lincoln

Who should win: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

This really ought to go to Rian Johnson for Looper, but he didn’t even get nominated.

Best Animated Feature Film

Who will win: Frankenweenie

Who should win: Wreck-It Ralph

I don’t think the HFPA will be able to resist giving Tim Burton a trophy for making a movie that neither sucked nor starred Johnny Depp, but of their nominee pool, Wreck-It Ralph is the better movie (The Pirates! Band of Misfits is best of all).

Best Foreign Language FilmAmour%20-%20Jean-Louis%20Trintignant

Who will win: Amour

Who should win: Amour

Michael Haneke’s Amour really ought to be in consideration for the big prize, so it’s a lock for the Foreign Language award. The Intouchables is strong competition, but Amour has legendary French actors Jean-Louis Trintignant and Emmanuelle Riva, as well as Haneke, a favorite on the international scene.

Best Original Score

Who will win: John Williams, Lincoln

Who should win: Reinhold Heil & Johnny Kilmek, Cloud Atlas

This is another one I don’t think they’ll be able to resist giving it to the most obvious nominee, in this case, Williams’ score for Lincoln. But the Heil/Kilmek score for Cloud Atlas  is extraordinary not only as a movie score but also as an independent piece of music. It plays like a symphony and is my favorite score in years.

Best Original Song

Who will win: Adele, “Skyfall” (Skyfall)

Who should win: Adele, “Skyfall” (Skyfall)

Adele’s Midas touch will extend to the HFPA, but I’m only content with her winning for her Bond theme because none of the original songs from Django Unchained were nominated. Adele’s song is one of the better Bond themes, but Django has several really great original songs, chief among them the Rick Ross/Jamie Foxx collaboration “100 Black Coffins”, John Legend’s “Who Did That to You?”, and the Ennio Morricone/Elisa number “Ancora Qui”.

Television

Best Series – Drama

Who will win: Homeland

Who should win: Breaking Bad

I don’t think there’s any stopping the Homeland train, but I don’t see how Breaking Bad doesn’t get all the awards until it’s off the air.

Best Series – Comedy or Musical

Who will win: Girls

Who should win: Modern Family

Like Homeland, there’s no stopping Girls. That said, the funniest shows on TV aren’t even nominated (Archer, Wilfred, Parks & Rec), so this category means precisely squat.

Best Actor – DramaEpisode 212

Who will win: Damian Lewis, Homeland

Who should win: Damian Lewis, Homeland

I’m not crazy about Homeland, but I can never begrudge Lewis anything. I really loved Life.

Best Actress – Drama

Who will win: Claire Danes, Homeland

Who should win: Claire Danes, Homeland

One, the HFPA loves Danes, and two, of their nominee pool, she is the best.

Best Actor – Comedy or MusicalLOUIE-LOUIS-CK_610

Who will win: Louis CK, Louie

Who should win: Louis CK, Louie

Though the HFPA is crazy and highly susceptible to bribes, they sometimes tune into something before anyone else does, and I think they’ll be the first to reward CK for his acting, which is better than people give him credit for.

Best Actress – Comedy or  Musical

Who will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

Who should win: Amy Poehler, Parks & Recreation

Just not Lena Dunham. Please.

Best Mini-Series or Movie

Who will win: Game Change

Who should win: The Hour

I wouldn’t rule out Hatfields and McCoys, but I think the HFPA will go with the more politically charged option.

Best Actor – Mini-Series or Movieslideshow_belgravia_10

Who will win: Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock

Who should win: Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock

This is another example of where the HFPA will get ahead of everyone else and single out Cumberbatch before he does a victory lap in 2014 after Sherlock series three airs.

Best Actress – Mini-Series or Movie

Who will win: Julianne Moore, Game Change

Who should win: Julianne Moore, Game Change

I really don’t see this going any other way.

Best Supporting Actor

Who will win: Ed Harris, Game Change

Who should win: Max Greenfield, New Girl

Don’t count out Mandy Patinkin, but it’s Greenfield who really deserves it for his stellar comic work as Schmidt. Not only was he the breakout in what was meant to be Zooey Deschanel’s vanity project but he’s made Schmidt a cultural touchstone.

Best Supporting ActressViolet-Dowager-Countess-of-Grantham

Who will win: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Who should win: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

I daren’t go against the Dowager Countess.

Advertisements

5 thoughts on “Award Shows 2013: The Golden Globes

    1. I didn’t watch it when it was on TV (so I am part of the problem), but thanks to Netflix I got to revisit it. Of all the “cop drama with a TWIST” that have come and gone, that was easily the best and most interesting one.

  1. Rhiann

    I’m reading the Lainey site liveblog on the GGs and your comments are by far by the most banal – Didn’t she hire you because you were a professional Kristin Stewart fangirl? No hate on Lainey for needing to pay the bills (/up the page views), but come on.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s