Award shows 2011: Golden Globes

 

This is the second round of Golden Globe guessing on Cinesnark and I’m sure it will go just as badly as the first round. Although this year the HFPA’s nominations were so insane that there’s kind of a free-for-all, anything can happen vibe happening. So maybe my mostly random guesses will hit the mark a little more often this time around. Here is a complete list of nominees. Term to know: “Dart category”, which is a category in which any nominee deserves the win. As in, “throw a dart, they’re all good”. Now on to the “who should wins” and the “who will wins”.

Film

Best Picture – Drama

 

Who will win: The King’s Speech

Who should win: The King’s Speech

I’m not swayed that the HFPA is as gung-ho about The Social Network as the Academy and guilds are, so I think The King’s Speech slides in for a win here.

 

Best Picture – Comedy or Musical

 

Who will win: The Kids Are All Right

Who should win: The Kids Are All Right

In a category that includes Burlesque, Red and The Tourist, The Kids Are All Right is the ONLY option.

 

Best Director – Motion Picture

 

Who will win: Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech

Who should win: Dart category

With nominees like Christopher Nolan, Darren Aronofsky, David Fincher, Tom Hooper and David O. Russell, there are no losers.

 

Best Actor – Drama

 

Who will win: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech

Who should win: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech

This is a dart category, too, but Firth has had this locked up for months.

 

Best Actor – Musical or Comedy

 

Who will win: Kevin Spacey, Casino Jack

Who should win: Paul Giamatti, Barney’s Version

Despite Johnny Depp being (double) nominated in this category, the only person who deserves a win is Giamatti.

 

Best Actress – Drama

 

Who will win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Who should win: Dart category

I feel like these are all good actresses doing really good work and while I think Portman has all the momentum, I’d be fine with any of them winning.

 

Best Actress – Musical or Comedy

 

Who will win: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right

Who should win: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right

Bening’s closest competition is her Kids costar Julianne Moore, but what does a win in this category mean when Angelina Jolie was nominated for the awfulness that was The Tourist?

 

Best Supporting Actor

 

Who will win: Christian Bale, The Fighter

Who should win: Christian Bale, The Fighter

You could flip a coin between Bale and The King Speech’s Geoffrey Rush and I’d be satisfied either way. Both gave excellent performances worthy of an award, it just feels more like Bale’s year. Andrew Garfield (The Social Network) or Jeremy Renner (The Town) would be fun surprise wins, but I don’t know what Michael Douglas is doing here. I know he’s been sick and everything, but Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps was not a good movie and Douglas didn’t distinguish himself in it.

 

Best Supporting Actress

 

Who will win: Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Who should win: Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech

I loved The King’s Speech so much and Bonham Carter’s upper-crusty Queen Elizabeth made the movie for me. So many subtle comic moments. But I think the Australian Weaver is the kind of out of nowhere surprise winner that makes for a nice Cinderella story, and everyone likes a Cinderella story.

 

Best Screenplay

 

Who will win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

Who should win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

It’s a perfect script. Not 100% true or accurate, but it’s witty, sharp, loaded with stinging quips and the mile-a-minute monologues that made Sorkin famous. Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg’s script for The Kids Are All Right would also be acceptable.

 

Best Animated Feature Film

 

Who will win: Tangled

Who should win: Dart category

The HFPA once gave Beauty and the Beast a Best Picture win—they have a soft spot for Disney. And this is the kind of category where they go in the complete opposite direction as everyone else.

 

Best Foreign Language Film

 

Who will win: Biutiful

Who should win: I Am Love (Io Sono L’amore)

I Am Love was the best foreign film, hands down. But Biutiful has all the momentum and also it’s a miserable depressing movie about miserable depressing things, so I’m sure critics love it ten thousand times more than I do for that reason.

 

Best Original Score

 

Who will win: Hans Zimmer, Inception

Who should win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network

Though I preferred the Reznor/Ross score from The Social Network and Alexandre Desplat’s delightful work for The King’s Speech, the Inception score became an internet meme this summer. It’s a populist win.

 

Best Original Song

 

Who will win: “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me”, Burlesque

Who should win: Something not nominated. I don’t know what. Just something…else.

This is a terrible category. The Tangled song is the least offensive of the lot but the music didn’t distinguish Tangled. Could we not nominate the BRAAAHM sound from Inception as a song?

Television

Best Series – Drama

 

Who will win: Boardwalk Empire (HBO)

Who should win: The Walking Dead (AMC)

OF COURSE I think The Walking Dead should win, for the pilot alone. This is a dart category, though, and any of the winners would be deserving. Just as it was a good year for dramas at the movies, it was also a good year for dramas on television.

 

Best Series – Musical or Comedy

 

Who will win: Modern Family (ABC)

Who should win: 30 Rock (NBC)

I’m actually fine with Modern Family, 30 Rock or Nurse Jackie winning. I will revolt if Glee wins. I was all over it last year, but last year it was the best thing on TV. In just one year, however, Glee has pissed it all away on stunt casting, too many characters, and too many musical numbers. What a waste.

 

Best Actor – Drama

 

Who will win: Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire (HBO)

Who should win: Jon Hamm, Mad Men (AMC)

Minus Hugh Laurie, because I’m sick of him being nominated for House when the character never evolves, this is a dart category. I personally feel that Hamm did his best work to date this last season on Mad Men, but I think that the HFPA is going to be all over Boardwalk Empire.

 

Best Actor – Musical or Comedy

 

Who will win: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock (NBC)

Who should win: Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory (CBS)

I chose those two based on covering my eyes and pointing at the nominee list. This category is awful. Baldwin and Carell are perfectly fine on their shows but it’s nothing new from either of them. Thomas Jane is a baffling nominee as Hung blows massive chunks and should never be viewed by anyone anywhere, ever, unless you’re using it to torture terrorists or something. Matthew Morrison’s nomination is obsolete since Glee sucks now and Mr. Schue’s sudden unlikeableness is a large part of the problem. Parsons is actually really enjoyable on the mostly-mediocre-but-occasionally-brilliant Big Bang Theory, but he isn’t given enough opportunities to stretch beyond the stereotypical uber-nerdiness of his character, Sheldon. It’s a waste of his considerable talent and a solid character. My five nominees would be: Adam Scott (Party Down), Glenn Howerton (It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia), Danny McBride (Eastbound & Down), Ken Marino (Party Down) and Nick Offerman (Parks & Recreation). Isn’t that list SO MUCH BETTER?

 

Best Actress – Drama

 

Who will win: Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife (CBS)

Who should win: Elizabeth Moss, Mad Men (AMC)

This a solid bunch of nominees, excepting Piper Perabo. While she’s perfectly enjoyable on the fun Covert Affairs, she’s basically a marshmallow in a bowl of cherry cordials. I believe season four was Moss’s best work yet on Mad Men and her character took huge leaps last year, but it feels like it’s going Margulies’ way.

 

Best Actress – Musical or Comedy

 

Who will win: Tina Fey, 30 Rock (NBC)

Who should win: Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie (Showtime)

As much as I love Fey, Falco’s work on Nurse Jackie is so stellar. Fey is dependable—I know she’ll always deliver on 30 Rock but Falco is like a revelation every episode of Nurse Jackie. As for the others, I didn’t find The Big C or United States of Tara to be anything special and Lea Michele increasingly revolts me.

 

Best Miniseries or Movie

 

Who will win: Temple Grandin (HBO)

Who should win: Temple Grandin (HBO)

Pillars of the Earth was ambitious but uneven, The Pacific was too derivative of that other World War II HBO miniseries produced by Tom Hanks, and Carlos and You Don’t Know Jack are good mostly because of their lead actors, not overall film quality. Temple Grandin is the only all-around effort here. And plus, it’s ten kinds of yay.

 

Best Actor – Miniseries or Movie

 

Who will win: Al Pacino, You Don’t Know Jack (HBO)

Who should win: Edgar Ramirez, Carlos (Sundance Channel)

There is a major, major oversight in this category. Starz’s Pillars of the Earth would have been utterly unwatchable without Eddie Redmayne. Redmayne is one of the most tremendously talented performers currently on the rise (he won a Tony last year for Red and can next been seen in theaters in My Week with Marilyn with Michelle Williams). There isn’t a space Redmayne can’t command and he has such a natural, easy presence that everything he does looks totally right at every moment. He just does not make bad decisions as an actor. Nowhere is this on better display than the eight-part Pillars, a mix of soap and religious drama set in medieval England. With very little aid from make-up (the final scene does utilize some aging make-up), Redmayne embodies a character over the course of thirty years, from near-silent awkward youth to confident, dominant man, and you completely buy the transition. There is a LOT of enthusiasm for Redmayne—I’ve heard directly from people who have worked with him that he is humble, polite, funny, sincere, and a host of other things that make him a pleasure to work with—within the industry and I am shocked the HFPA overlooked him.

 

Best Actress – Miniseries or Movie

Who will win: Claire Danes, Temple Grandin (HBO)

Who should win: Claire Danes, Temple Grandin (HBO)

But will it really mean anything to win this year when Jennifer Love Hewitt was nominated for a fucking Lifetime Movie of the Week? That should be an eligibility rule: “No Lifetime Movies of the Week shall be eligible. Ever.”

 

Best Supporting Actor

 

Who will win: Chris Colfer, Glee (Fox)

Who should win: David Strathairn, Temple Grandin (HBO)

The answer should always be “David Strathairn”. Because, obviously.

 

Best Supporting Actress

 

Who will win: Sofia Vergara, Modern Family (ABC)

Who should win: Hope Davis, The Special Relationship (HBO)

This is another weak category, though it isn’t totally awful. But why not Rashida Jones for Parks & Rec or Jane Krakowski for 30 Rock? Or Lizzy Caplan on Party Down? The HFPA knows they don’t HAVE to nominate the same three shows in every category…right?

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9 thoughts on “Award shows 2011: Golden Globes

  1. I agree with pretty much everything you said. I’m not terribly passionate about anyone winning except for Firth and Hamm. I also think Lizzie Moss is terribly overlooked for her work as Peggy on ‘Mad Men.’

    Side note: The Leo/BRAAAHM song caption? Best thing ever. That and your distaste for anything Burlesque. Done & done.

  2. connor

    House never evolves? Maybe you should watch Broken and then talk about how House hasn’t evolved. Wait a second since when is a character evolving having anything to do with nominations? James Gandolfini evolved as Tony Soprano? Bryan Cranston’s Walter White has evolved since season two? The first season you see him change, then after that what he has evolved? To me Hugh Laurie is like James Gandolfini, there can be only one actor who could play their charcters. They became their charcters.

  3. I love House and especially Hugh Laurie, the guy gives a great speech! I still remember the one a few years back, not sure if it was for Emmy’s or Golden Globes, but I have to agree on his character. Apparently so do the voters as he hasn’t won in awhile.

    What kind of acceptance speech do you think Aaron Sorkin will give? The all about me, the self-deprecating, the love the cast/director, or the so grateful to be nominated/included with the other brilliant nominees/I’m full of shit speech? It’s been so long since his West Wing awards and I haven’t caught any of what he’s won so far this year.

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  6. Kaite

    i forgot about Eddie Redmayne. i have a specific type and, being ginger-y myself, it is tall, dark and handsome. Eddie Redmayne was so amazing he became my first ginger obsession.. i want to watch him in anything possible right now.

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